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2024-12-13 18:20:48

(C) plate rotation and capital flow analysisThe tightness of funds has a key impact on the trend of A-share market. Recently, the overall market liquidity is in a relatively stable but not loose state, and the entry speed of incremental funds is relatively slow. After opening higher in early trading, due to the lack of sufficient follow-up funds, it is difficult for the market to maintain a high increase. At the same time, investors' mood changed greatly in the process of opening higher and then going lower in the morning. When the market opened higher, the optimism of the market briefly warmed up, but with the decline of the index, pessimism gradually gained the upper hand, which further aggravated the selling pressure of the market and formed a vicious circle, making it difficult for the index to obtain effective support and rebound during the decline.Third, tomorrow's A-share market inference


First, today's A-share three major indexes opened higher and went lower.(B) Macro policies and news expectations(A) macroeconomic factors


Considering the current situation of market segmentation today, tomorrow's plate rotation will play a key role in the market trend. Although the financial sector changed in early trading today, it failed to continuously lead the market to rise. If the financial sector, especially the banking and securities sector, can rise again tomorrow under the impetus of favorable policies or expected improvement of its own performance, it is expected to stabilize the market index and drive the market sentiment to rebound. For example, if there are positive signals such as the improvement of net interest margin and the improvement of asset quality in the banking sector, it will attract capital inflows and provide solid support for the upward movement of the index.After today's adjustment, the trend differentiation of the technology growth sector may intensify tomorrow. Some leading enterprises with real core technology competitiveness and clear performance growth expectations may attract funds to bargain-hunting after adjustment, take the lead in stabilizing and rebounding, and drive the overall popularity of the science and technology sector to rebound; And some small and medium-sized technology stocks that lack performance support and rely only on concept speculation may continue to face downward pressure. In addition, as a long-term stable force in the A-share market, the consumer sector is often more defensive when the market fluctuates greatly. If the overall market sentiment is still cautious tomorrow, the food and beverage, medicine and biology sub-sectors in the consumer sector are expected to continue to gain the favor of funds and maintain a relatively stable trend, which will play a certain supporting role in the index.

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